| Steelers | Cards | Q1% | Q2% | Q3% | Q4% | Overall EV% | Ownership |
Score 1 | 2 | 2 | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | Me |
Score 2 | 7 | 3 | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | Me |
Score 3 | 4 | 4 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | Me |
Score 4 | 9 | 7 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | Me |
Score 5 | 0 | 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | Mom |
Score 6 | 3 | 4 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | Paul |
I posted here the scores from my office Super Bowl "squares" in which I have a stake. Four of them are mine and two I get a finder's fee for, so I'll be rooting for all of them. I read a 2005 Sabernomics breakdown of the odds...but then saw there was a 2008 review and revision to that which is where I got the values from above. Basically, I got the absolute worst square on the board which is 2/2. This has basically has a .04% chance of happening (though Paul is writing this game down as 12-2...I'll believe it when I see it...haha). So I can forget it. I'm riding on my 7/3. I have never won anything in these pools. I always end up with the worst numbers. But I'm keeping my fingers crossed.
A few other afternoon links:
-Securities Industry traders, say that they expect the Steelers to win, but to take the points.
-I wish that Monsters vs. Aliens was not going to be an animated film, because the cast seems AWESOME.
-Now this is luck (H/T Wendy)
-Freakonomics: Treasury Hero and Princeton's Angus Deaton on development economics (I got both Bachelors and Masters degrees in Economics and I was a bit lost...so I can't say it's an easy read).
-Waiting for this shoe to drop in regards to JP Morgan and the Madoff scandal.
-I think that we should keep Blago around solely for the entertainment value
-For big Rangers fans (or just really big hockey fans), this story about John Muckler is great.
-Tek back to the Red Sox...hopefully one more tussle with A-rod is in store
-Over at the Astron blog on the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act.
-Over 4000 signatures for the Rose Art
Off to Massachusetts for the weekend...will update when I come and post my "airtight" Super Bowl prediction (get ready to bet the other way!)
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