Last night I got into a discussion with a few friends about baseball. The discussion moved at one point to the
Joe Torre teams of the late 90s. I had mentioned how on base percentage was, in my opinion, the most important statistic to measure a team's offensive efficiency--though I mentioned a hollow OBP without power was worthless. I was trying to explain weighted on base average (or wOBA, a category that
Dave Cameron of FanGraphs does much better and
Alex Remington of Big League Stew adds to) when one of my friends piped up and said that the the offense of those 90s Torre teams were built less on OBP and more on taking pitches and their nitty, gritty mentality. Although I think that pitches per plate appearance has a good deal to do with OBP (more pitches seen usually means patience, more pitches wears out the pitcher and causes them to throw more balls, etc.), I thought that this idea that these Yankee teams didn't win because of OBP and wOBA was false. It turns out I was right.
I think most of this misconception lies in the fact that OBP wasn't exactly a mainstream topic before 2003 when Michael Lewis'
Moneyball hit the scene. The truth is that teams were thinking about this before that time, but like good organizations do, they decided not to share that trade secret with others. If you take a look at those Yankee teams, you remember
Paul O'Neill's warrior-like ABs, but you forget how they ended many times: with him jogging to first base. Using FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference (and a 50 PA minimum), here was what those Yankee teams looked like:
1995
I add this one in just to show when the change occurred. Obviously, this was not a Torre team (Buck Showalter ran the show), but some of the seeds of Torre teams were planted. The 1995 Yankee team put up a .357 OBP which was good for 2nd in the American League. But the OBP was pretty empty of power. Although they had 280 doubles (2nd in the AL), they had only 122 HR (12th out of 14). Paul O'Neill had 22,
Bernie Williams 18,
Mike Stanley 18...and no one else had more than 7. The starting infield of
Don Mattingly,
Pat Kelly,
Tony Fernandez, and
Wade Boggs accumulated 21 combined. While Paul O'Neill (.387 OBP, .388 wOBA), Bernie Williams (.392 OBP, .385 wOBA), and Wade Boggs (.412 OBP, .373 wOBA) carried the offense,
Dion James (.317 wOBA),
Luis Polonia (.304), Tony Fernandez (.296), and Pat Kelly (.293) all were black holes. The team made the playoffs as the first American League Wild Card but they were disposed of in a tough 5-game loss in the American League Division Series to the Seattle Mariners.
1996
In 1996, the Yankees got rid of most of the dead weight from the 1995 lineup. They replaced Dion James with
Tim Raines (.383 OBP/.377 wOBA), Luis Polonia with
Ruben Rivera (.381/.368), Tony Fernandez with
Derek Jeter (.370/.353), and Pat Kelly with
Mariano Duncan (.352/.364). The team OBP ticked up to .360 and the hitting improved even further when they swapped
Ruben Sierra for
Cecil Fielder mid-season. Paul O'Neill continued to be a force in the Yankees lineup, walking 15.5% of the time and putting up a .411 OBP. The team gave way too many PAs (219) to
Andy Fox (probably the worst Yankee hitter of the past 20 years that they've given that many PAs to) and
Gerald Williams was never the answer in left, but this team was able to win the World Series because of those improvements it made.