Friday, July 9, 2010

Cliff Lee traded to the Yankees? Deal is "almost done"

ESPN New York, citing one of its ubiquitous "unnamed sources," has announced that a trade sending Cliff Lee to the Yankees is "just about done."  The Mariners look to acquire the Yankees' best catching prospect, 20-year-old Jesus Montero, whom the Yankees consider an excellent hitter but a subpar defensive catcher.  Montero, of course, could always bring his big bat to first base or third base on the Mariners, options that don't exist on a Yankees team that features Mark Teixeira at 1B and Alex Rodriguez at 3B.

The Yankees could absorb this loss with catching prospect Austin Romine, who they believe could become a .275 hitter with 20 HR power.  (Sound familiar?)

Personally, I have mixed feelings about this.  For the most part, I feel that the Yankees should not pull the trigger on this for two reasons.  First, they'll almost certainly have to give up Montero, who will almost certainly be a very successful major league hitter at whatever position he plays.  Ouch.  Why give up such a blue chip prospect when the Yankees are clearly the front runner to sign Lee when he becomes a free agent this offseason?  This is exactly why the Yankees resisted trading for Johan Santana and CC Sabathia at the trading deadline in previous seasons.

Second, the Yankees already have a deep starting pitching rotation.  I mean, they are sending three of their starters to the All-Star Game!  So common sense tells you that this team can win without adding Lee.  (Photo Credit: AP)

But after the jump, I'll tell you why 40% of my gut is telling me that the Yankees should trade for Lee.

The Yanks should trade Montero for Lee for two reasons.  First, maybe the Yankees' rotation is not as strong as everyone assumes.  Phil Hughes has struggled recently, giving up 5, 3, 6, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts (against Houston, the Mets, Seattle, and Toronto, respectively).  A.J. Burnett has struggled mightily, as we all know.  Javier Vazquez's recent improvements, while much appreciated, do little to relieve the anxiety that all Yankees fans feel every time he takes the mound.  Sabathia has pitched well, but there are a lot of miles on CC's arm.  And while we are all impressed by Andy Pettitte's incredible first half -- the best of his career -- it's hard not to worry about when the other shoe is going to drop.  Can he really keep this up in the second half, let alone the postseason?  Adding Lee gives you another bona fide ace.  It allows you to save some of Hughes' bullets (although what to do with him is another post entirely).  It gives you insurance if any of the current starters gets hurt.  And it also allows the Yankees to consider trading Vazquez now, when he's pitching well and his value is at its highest.

Second, it keeps Lee from going to another AL contender.  The Rays are right behind the Yankees in the Lee talks.  If he isn't traded to the Bronx, he could be headed to Tampa.  Any Yankees fans out there want to face David Price, Lee, Jeff Niemann, and Matt Garza in the playoffs?  Heck no.  Terrifying.  Trading for Lee now gives the Yankees an even bigger edge over their fellow AL contenders than they already have right now.  A rotation anchored by CC, Andy, Lee, and Hughes/Burnett would make the Yanks the prohibitive favorite on October.

Please comment -- I'm dying to hear everyone's thoughts before a trade is (possibly) consummated today.

UPDATE, 4:35 EST:  Trade talks between the Yankees and Mariners appear to have broken down.  The Yanks offered Jesus Montero, second baseman David Adams, and another young prospect.  The M's questioned Adams's health, since he recently suffered a sprained ankle.  That injury risk seriously waned Seattle's interest, and as of 3:45 p.m., the Yankees are "operating under the assumption that they would not be getting Lee."

9 comments:

  1. A few points:

    Montero is not a third baseman. He's a 1B, DH and maybe a part-time catcher. He's the #6 prospect in all of baseball and it would be really tough to lose him. But if the Yankees believe he won't be a catcher long-term AND that Romine is going to be just as good a player overall, it makes sense to make this trade since a DH/maybe catcher is not a valuable to the Yankees as other teams

    The Yankees need to get something of value for Vazquez. They traded Vizcaino (one of baseball's top pitching prospects) for him and if they trade him for spare parts now, it makes no sense. If they can turn around and get Jayson Werth for Vazquez, that would be very good...

    ...But I'm not sure the Yankees need to do all this. I know the Yankees have shown chinks in the armor, but I think they are the favorites to repeat. I know they want to distance themselves from the rest of the field, but it's a large cost to do so.

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  2. why trade vazquez? Makes no sense to me unless they can land werth. But do they even need him? This team has Swish, Granderson and Gardner out there. Why not keep Vaz for now and go with a 6 man rotation? You have Pettitte who can always use the extra rest and Hughes who has inning/start limits. This would alleviate both of those issues while keeping Sabbathia fresh as well.
    just a thought

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  3. I think a 6-man rotation is excess the Yankees don't need. I know it sounds weird for a fan of a team that excels in excess to say that it's too much. But it is. The Yankees need to get something for Vazquez, IMO, if they're going to do this deal.

    Another prospect going in the deal is highly touted 2B David Adams who the Mariners supposedly have coveted for a while.

    But this shows why Cashman taking over the draft and int'l free agents was so important. The depth the Yankees have built at these positions have allowed them to pursue trades like these. Not only do they have Romine at catcher but Hisegawa and Gary Sanchez in Single-A. At 2B, the hope that Cano (a home-grown prospect) will be there for a while.

    Then again, the closer we get to gametime tonight without a deal, the more I feel like it might not get done.

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  4. The Vazquez-for-Werth deal actually makes sense to me. Vazquez has shown that he can be a dominant pitcher in the NL and the Phils need a SP.

    As for the Yankees, their bench is scary thin. Colin Curtis? Chad Huffman? Ramiro Pena? The best bat they have is Marcus Thames, who only hits fastballs. If we got Werth, we'd have flexibility to give Swisher/Granderson/Gardner the opportunity to have days off. Then we'd have power off the bench, or fresh speedy legs when Gardner doesn't start.

    And Ari, I think a 5-man rotation with Lee, CC, AJ, Andy, and Phil is fine. If we have to spot start Sergio Mitre in September when we (hopefully) have a healthy lead in the East (thanks in part to Cliff Lee) then I'm okay with that.

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  5. Here's my issues with worrying about the Yankees bench: they have an All-Star caliber player at every position. Who are you worried about pitch-hitting for? I rather have good defensive guys who have speed on the bench (like Pena) than a bat. That being said, if they get a guy like Jerry Hairston or Ty Wigginton for the bench, I won't be upset. But, again, I don't feel they need them. The Yankees win one more game and they'll have the best record in baseball and I'm not sure how much you want to mess with that.

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  6. Sarah, as Wikipedia might say...[[CITATION NEEDED]]

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  7. Hahaha sorry - Twitter/Ken Rosenthal

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