Monday, March 28, 2011

UConn Marches Past Arizona For 2nd Final Four Berth in 3 Years

Jim Calhoun and the West regional champs. (credit: Hartford Courant)
In what was essentially a road game at the Honda Center in Anaheim on Saturday night, the UConn Huskies marched past the Arizona Wildcats to earn their second Final Four berth in three years.  Much to Charles Barkley's dismay, the 2011 Final Four features No. 4 Kentucky, No. 8 Butler, and No. 11 VCU, making third-seeded Connecticut the lowest seed left in the tournament, and the only Big East squad still standing.

File those last two sentences under "things I never thought I'd say five months ago when most of the college basketball world considered these same Huskies strictly NIT-bound."

Shabazz Napier
(credit: Hartford Courant)
Apparently the players never got the memo back in November.  Instead, they locked in and became one of the greatest tournament teams in college basketball history.  Seriously.  It doesn't even matter whether they win the NCAA tournament.  They've already sealed their place in NCAA lore by winning the Maui Invitational (3-0), the Big East tournament (5-0), and advancing to the Final Four (4-0 so far).  Yes sir, the UConn Huskies are undefeated in tournament play with a 12-0 record (and counting).  So can Connecticut keep its amazing streak going for two more games and close out this remarkable season by winning their 3rd NCAA championship?

Putting aside my obvious bias, I say yes -- and a plurality of Americans agree with me.  (ESPN's latest poll has UConn at 38%, Kentucky at 24%, Butler at 22%, and VCU at 11%.)  Speaking of ESPN, here is an unbelievable stat.  Out of the 5.9 million brackets submitted to the WWL's Tournament Challenge, only two brackets got the Final Four correct.  Two!  In related news, Jay Bilas and Jay Williams were the only two ESPN experts who picked UConn to reach the Final Four.  Perhaps you should listen to people named Jay; we know what we're talking about.


So what do I like about this UConn team?  First and foremost, I like Kemba Walker.  I've said it before, I'll say it again, and I'll keep saying it until a team proves me wrong by bottling him up in a big game.  And even then, you can't really stop Kemba, you can only hope to contain him.  The man is a true baller, a floor general that younger players look up to.  His fun-to-watch factor is off the charts.  And most importantly, he's the single most valuable player in the country, the one unstoppable scorer that opposing teams genuinely fear when the game's on the line.   For better or worse, UConn's hopes ride entirely on his shoulders.  The Huskies will only go as far as Kemba can carry them.

Kemba Walker & Jeremy Lamb      (credit: Hartford Courant)
So far, so good -- Kemba has carried them pretty far.  And if he can finish what he started and win UConn's third national championship, he could very well be considered the Greatest Husky Ever.  But every Batman needs his Robin, and Kemba Walker has Jeremy Lamb.

Did you know that in UConn's Sweet 16 victory over San Diego State, Walker and Lamb combined for 60 of UConn's 74 points?  It's true, and Connecticut will need more of the same if it expects to win the title.  Lamb is long, athletic, and has a nose for the ball.  He is the most emphatic dunker on the team, and his floaters in the lane are a thing of beauty.  But it's not just the points Lamb scores, it's his ability to match Kemba's flair for the dramatic.  When the Huskies were down 55-52 against Arizona, he swished a trademark floater, nailed a jumper, and stole the ball away from superstar Derrick Williams, finishing with a breakaway dunk.  Game.  Set.  Match.  That dunk sparked a 10-0 run that gave UConn the lead for good.

Having a 1-2 punch like Walker and Lamb is what wins games in April.  But what else can UConn count on?  Let's take a quick look...
UConn loves playing out West.  Connecticut won the national championship in 1999 (Phoenix) and in 2004 (San Antonio) and reached the Final Four in 2009 (Glendale) -- all out of the West region.  Whether it's psychological, or being able to play thousands of miles from the distractions of family, friends, and the local media, it doesn't really matter.  What's important is that history favors UConn.
Jeremy Lamb will continue to perform his best Rip Hamilton impression.  That's where his career is headed, at UConn and beyond.
The media framing the Final Four as "Cheaters vs. Cinderellas."  Not that anyone could blame them, given the despicable John Calipari (whose two prior Final Four runs with UMass and Memphis were later vacated) and Calhoun (no stranger to controversy himself) pitted against the eminently likeable Brad Stevens and Shaka Smart.  I guess Calhoun gets lumped in with Calipari as one of the "cheaters," but let's be honest, he's nowhere near Calipari in that regard.  If anything, matching up against Calipari makes Calhoun look like a good guy!  Hey, anything to distract the media from hounding Kemba & Co.  This is what you'd call a "good" distraction.
Speaking of the coaches, Brad Stevens (34) and Shaka Smart (33) are younger than Jim Calhoun (68) combined.  It's a cute stat if you're a Butler or VCU fan.  But the way I see it, Calhoun was coaching high school basketball in Old Lyme, CT in 1965.....12 years before Shaka Smart was born.  I'll take Calhoun, thank you very much.
A lot of people have been asking me whether I would've preferred UConn to face UNC rather than Kentucky in the semifinals.   Umm, no.  Connecticut beat then-No. 9 Kentucky by 17 in the Maui Invitational.  I realize that November 24 is a long time ago, but I'd rather play the devil you know than the devil you don't.  Especially when the devil is full of freshmen that every single non-ACC team is just now seeing for the first time.
Could this be a sneak preview of April 4? (Credit: Courant)
As Jimmy Dugan would say, it's time for the song and dance.  My prediction is that Calhoun rewards fans across America by bouncing Calipari, who is the Duke of college basketball coaches.  Kemba leads the pack (get it?) with a routine 27-6-8.  And yet another Wildcat team (the second one this week) cries on the bench at the buzzer.

Butler and VCU better get ready for a nice slice of humble pie, because midnight is coming for the Cinderellas.  This year's UConn team, which has defied expectations every step of the way, just feels like a special group of Huskies.

Connecticut by 5.

7 comments:

  1. I find it ironic...that the poster of this message was calling for Calhoun's head less than 2 years ago...the best part is the picture attahced to the post - Calhoun holding the net - or Jay are those your t*&ticles in his hand?

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  2. From here http://www.nyat.net/2010/03/uconns-season-ends-on-nailbiting-22.html : "But I know two things for sure: it is not absurd to consider showing him the door, and it is not absurd to consider using the UConn men as a practice squad for the UConn women." Also, relying on Mike Nichols for UConn analysis would be like relying on Mike Nichols for analysis on anything. Just a terrible idea.

    Also, "This just goes to show you -- despite the many people who will argue that Calhoun's credentials and track record have earned him "lifetime tenure" at UConn, much like a college professor might have, there are nearly as many UConn fans out there (such as me) who are ready for a change.** Too bad it's not going to happen, possibly until he is 73 years old."

    And finally: "Realistically, what are the chances that Calhoun, at age 68, is able to recreate his powerhouse teams from 1999, 2004, and 2006? The man is coming off 6 straight Big East tournament losses and has failed to get past the first round of the NCAA tournament in 3 of the past 4 seasons. I just cannot see him doing what Jim Boeheim did this year with Syracuse. Boeheim's recruiting classes have simply been stronger than Calhoun's."

    With a stellar freshman class presently playing in the Final 4, guard Ryan Boatright committed for next year, 2012 #1 overall prospect Andre Drummond a probable UConn Husky, and now, both 2013 top recruits Kuran Iverson and Kris Dunn are saying that they'd like to come to UConn after seeing Kemba thrive there.

    Hit the nail on the head there, Jay! I will continue to turn to NYAT for incisive, biting analysis that has its finger on the pulse of sports.

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  3. Anonymous, whenever a coach on the hot seat responds with a winning season, it makes those who doubted him look foolish. Did I doubt Calhoun after Kemba & Co. finished 18-16? Yes. But was putting Calhoun on the hot seat wrong at the time? No.

    Related example: flush with good young pitching talent, the San Francisco Giants won the 2010 World Series less than 2 years after manager Bruce Bochy posted back-to-back 71 and 72 win seasons. Would you criticize those who demanded that Bochy be fired after those two dreadful seasons? At the time -- way before anyone could possibly expect a World Series win in 2010 -- it would have been fair to consider firing Bochy.

    Getting back to college basketball, did Calhoun's team surprise everyone this season? Absolutely. Everyone knows the 2010-11 Huskies overachieved, and not even Calhoun thought they'd make it this far.

    But re-read my post. How much credit did I give Calhoun for this incredible run? I focused far more on Kemba Walker, Jeremy Lamb, and a group of young personalities that gelled early on, who genuinely like each other, and have a knack for winning tournaments on neutral sites (where they have not lost).

    This is a special team that is winning because it has a transcendent superstar in Kemba Walker and a reliable-yet-unflashy supporting cast. Put Walker and Lamb on a half dozen Big East teams with a serviceable center and they could, very possibly, go on a similar hot streak.

    Has Calhoun done a good job recruiting? Sure, but how much better are these players compared to last year's 18-16 team? The talent is similar; this is just a new group of guys. Kemba and Oriakhi are still here. Was Gavin Edwards as good as Charles Okwandu? Was Jerome Dyson as good as Shabazz Napier? Was Stanley Robinson as good as Roscoe Smith or Jamal Coombs-McDaniel?

    The answers to all these questions are "yes" and some of last year's players might have been better. So the talent isn't markedly different. The difference is that right now, Calhoun presides over the right cocktail of freshmen and impact upperclassmen.

    FYI, Boatright is the No. 11 PG, but Jim Boeheim (who I discussed in the post you linked to) landed Michael Carter-Williams, the No. 3 PG and the No. 16 overall recruit. You were VERY generous in calling Andre Drummond a "probable Husky" since he has offers from 6 schools, including Duke, UNC, and fellow Big East teams such as Pitt, Georgetown, and Louisville. I also haven't seen a reliable source mention that Iverson and Dunn publicly stated their intention to come to UConn.

    Bottom line, Calhoun was blessed with a special overachieving group of freshman (and Kemba, of course) this season. Let's see where Calhoun's recruiting classes go from here, and let's see how Calhoun's NCAA violations (and imminent suspension) affect things. But yes, Anonymous commenter, you are right in that my post on last year's 18-16 Huskies looks foolish in light of their Final Four run this year.

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  4. Some very good points Jay - you must be a lawyer.....I'm very interested in initiating some debate back and forth so i like your moxy....and while I do agree with some of your points, i would like to add some counterpoints of my own as well.........

    I just think too many people get caught up in present - in one given year want to make drastic changes - and as we've seen - in the course of one year, many opinions have changed regarding calhoun just b/c of the success of this one team.....while i even agreed with some of your reasoning for "moving on" a couple of years back.....i try to look at the big (entire) picture...and yes "from a forward looking standpoint" i almost wish Uconn wins it all, and Calhoun retires (he is old and can't be counted on for more than a few more years at best).....but you have to give the guy credit - great find in Jeremy Lamb - who was not very highly recruited...do you think this is a coincidence.....Ray Allen - falls under the same category, Emeka Okefor, etc, etc (all guys that slipped under the radar a bit and Calhoun saw something)....and while this team gelled (their chemistry is ridicoulous)- led by Kemba (how can you not love Kemba by the way - 6'0" and he is a dominant player) - but...how can you not acknowledge that Calhoun deserves a good amount of the credit? Why is it in sports that the coach gets all the blame for a bad season...and than doesn't get any credit for a overacheiving season.

    More or less i just get frustrated with short-mindedness of many sports fans.....i haven't had as much fun rooting for a Uconn team in a while, and i almost feel like the 12 year old kid that was a diehard fan back in 1989 (Tate George, Chris Smith, Nadav Henefeld)...i think Calhoun deserves some credit for that (for more than 20 years Calhoun has recognized some amazing overlooked talents, his teams have more often than not progressed - from November through March -his NCAA tournament record is amazing in that most of his teams at least play to their seeding if not exceed their seeding - all except for 2008 when then were upset by San Diego U. and even in that game AJ Price went down which greatly hurt our chances)...and the naysayers should at least stand up and acknowledge this.

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  5. Sports debate is a good thing. I wouldn't write for this blog if I didn't enjoy it. So yeah, as Wayne and Garth might say, game onnnnnn!

    I do agree that historically, Calhoun has recruited some real gems that other programs passed on, for whatever reason. And Calhoun does deserve some credit for his coaching, perhaps for staying out of the limelight more than anything else. (Despite the controversy swirling around him early in the year, he hasn't allowed that to become a distraction, and even his health has held up, preventing him from missing any games.)

    And I will say that when UConn's achilles heel was exposed by Syracuse at the XL Center (the entire country figured out that Connecticut can't penetrate a good zone defense) he made the necessary adjustments. Had he failed to do so, we would've been bounced already in the NCAA's. Offensively, it's pretty simple at this point. Kemba and Lamb play 40 minutes, Napier occasionally takes over ballhandling duties to give Kemba a breather, and you rotate Oriakhi and Okwandu to distribute the fouls evenly. Otherwise, sprinkle in a little McCoombs-Daniel, Roscoe, and Beverly (who sucks, btw) and UConn is good to go.

    Getting back to the subject at hand, let's look at the big picture, like you said. What do we know about Jimmy C? He's old...his health is questionable...and he's a convicted NCAA cheater who will be suspended for part of next season. The suspension does not help the University of Connecticut's reputation as a program that "wins the right way." Aside from this VERY magical run, Calhoun hadn't won a Big East tournament game since 2005, and he has had a couple of awful NIT-caliber seasons.

    Also, let's be honest -- UConn lost 4 of 5 to finish the year. I said to fellow blogger Elissa Glucksman that, with the way they played at the end of the regular season, I wouldn't be surprised if they were one-and-done in both the Big East and NCAA tournaments. And then the young Huskies got on a really, really hot streak.

    But what if they had gotten bounced early in both tournaments, like Pitt did? UConn would have finished 21-11 and for the second time, I might be calling for Calhoun to get fired. Would that have been short-sighted? Maybe. Or would I have been justified in firing a guy who came up short (again) in big tournaments, who is old and in failing health, and is a convicted cheater? Maybe. Who knows, the situation is just very different when you look past these 9 straight wins.

    Anyway, I will close with a major point of agreement. As you said, this UConn team is really fun to watch. They play their hearts out, they make clutch shots in big moments, and they look like they're really having fun out there. They also look like they get along and enjoy playing with each other. It's a very likeable team and I think (especially compared to Calipari's Kentucky team) the fans of VCU and Butler and every other mid-major could accept losing to these Huskies.

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  6. Well put Jay....my favorite comment you make is about Donnell Beverly - he is god awful...how does he play any minutes? it pains me when he is in the game...i have a "conspiracy theory" that he has some additional dirt on Calhoun and only plays because of his blackmail scheme against Calhoun.......lol.....alright, i've said my piece and enjoyed the back and forth...GO HUSKIES!!!!!!!

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  7. From the current poll on ESPN: "Which AP All-American has the best NBA potential?"

    http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/fp/flashPollResultsState?sportIndex=frontpage&pollId=109710

    Kemba Walker: 48%
    Jared Sullinger: 25%
    JaJuan Johnson: 10%
    Jimmer Fredette: 10%
    Nolan Smith: 7%

    Neat.

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